浅谈人民币汇率变动对我国对外贸易的影响

摘要

汇率是指一国货币同另一国货币兑换的比率。随着经济全球化，汇率作为国际市场的纽带将各国经济紧密联系在一起。本文就从人民币汇率变动对我国对外贸易的影响来分析。先从汇率的四大决定理论和影响因素来分析汇率的变动；再具体分析人民币的升值和贬值对我国对外贸易的实质影响，从汇率的变动对我国对外贸易的积极和消极影响来阐述，并根据2005年-2014年我国进出口总额来分析汇率的变动与贸易收支的关系；最后对近年来人民币汇率变动对我国对外贸易的影响来建议应采取何种措施来促进贸易的发展。

关键词   人民币汇率变动    对外贸易    影响    建议

目录

摘要·····································································································3

一、汇率变动的理论分析···································································5

（一）汇率决定理论介绍·········································································5

1.购买力平价论··················································································5

2.利率平价论·····················································································5

3.货币主义的汇率理论··········································································5

4.资产组合平衡理论·············································································5

（二）汇率的主要影响因素·······································································5

1.一国的经济增长速度·············································································6

2.国际收支平衡的情况·············································································6

3.通货膨胀水平的差异·············································································6

4.利率水平的差异··················································································6

二、人民币汇率变动对我国对外贸易的影响·····································6

（一）人民币汇率升值对我国对外贸易的影响············································6

1.人民币升值对我国对外贸易的利端··························································6

2.人民币升值对我国对外贸易的弊端·························································8（二）人民币汇率贬值对我国对外贸易的影响··············································9

  1.人民币汇率贬值对我国对外贸易的积极影响·················································9

  2.人民币汇率贬值对我国对外贸易的消极影响·················································9

三、人民币汇率变动对我国对外贸易影响的建议·······························9

（一）优化出口产业的产品······································································10

（二）发展各种形式的对外贸易·······························································10

（三）扩大内需，降低对外贸的依赖度·····················································10

（四）稳步推行人民币国际化··································································10

（五）完善金融市场，提高企业应对风险的能力········································10

参考文献····························································································11

致谢·································································